Rising
4 trends- +88Reasoning ModelsModels trained to think in long chains of intermediate tokens before answering.
- +78Agentic WorkflowsLLMs that plan, call tools, and complete multi-step tasks autonomously.
- +71Open-Weights FrontierOpen-weight models closing the gap with closed frontier labs to under 6 months.
- +67Sovereign AINation-states fund domestic frontier compute, models, and data centers.
Emerging
3 trendsMainstream
3 trendsMethodology
Velocity is computed as the 7-day rate of new corroborating signals normalized against the trend's own 90-day baseline. Maturity is a composite of cumulative signal volume, breadth of contributing entities, and presence of monetization-stage signals (pricing, procurement, earnings). Lifespan is the elapsed time since the trend's first observed signal. The full model is documented in The AI Trend Velocity Model.
Read the signals taxonomy