*Title:* Show HN: FutureSearch, AI forecasting you can verifyAI forecasting is now approximately superhuman. Today, FutureSearch is exiting our long public beta and launching.We started FutureSearch in August 2023. (We’re the original AI forecasting company, at least in a Tetlock-ian, “forecast anything” sense.) We’re currently #1 of 194 in the most competitive AI forecasting tournament [1], and we score above the #3 and #2 human forecasters in the premier mixed human-bot tournaments [2].Many people on HN seem to equate forecasting with prediction markets and finance. FutureSearch is not a financial tool, in the same way that “deep research” is not a financial tool. Yes, we do evaluate our forecaster on prediction markets [3]. But forecasting is about being as accurate about the future as possible, and the real game is in forecasting scientific progress, geopolitics, and the future of humanity. Our founding team came from Metaculus, where we pushed human forecasting to the limit on que...
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