arXiv:2608.05203v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Machine learning models achieve strong predictive accuracy for 90-day outcome prediction in acute ischaemic stroke, yet clinical adoption is limited by the misalignment of model explanations with clinicians' reasoning. Motivated by a clinician user study calling for clinical guideline-aligned cut-offs, we ask whether continuous predictors can be replaced by clinically informed categorical encodings without sacrificing performance. On a multi-centre European registry stratified into three treatment cohorts, we compare standard and fully categorised gradient-boosted models, the latter using stroke guideline-aligned, treatment-specific thresholds. The fully categorised models are statistically indistinguishable from their continuous counterparts in two of the treatment cohorts, with a significant drop in predictive accuracy in one cohort. Global feature importance rankings remain consistent, suggesting that discretising continuous predictors...
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