arXiv:2609.12510v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: For the (1+1) evolutionary algorithm with standard bit mutation, we study the sensitivity of the expected hitting time $H_p=\mathbb{E}_x T$ to the mutation rate. We first point out an easily overlooked formalization pitfall: the improvement event is not monotone in the mutation mask, so the unsigned (total-influence) form of the Margulis-Russo formula does not apply; the correct object is the signed endpoint difference. Second, we give an exact three-dimensional separation: two fitness functions share the entire one-step success-rate curve, yet their expected hitting times are two different exact rational numbers; hence one-step success-rate quantities do not determine the expected hitting time. Building on the runtime derivative $H'_p=(I-Q_p)^{-1}Q'_p H_p$, we construct computable double-residual sign certificates, prove a per-initial-state sign theorem on OneMax (for every non-optimal initial state, $\partial_c H<0$ on $0<1$, where $p=c...