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Physics-Constrained Digital Twins for Sensor Integrity in Urban Pedestrian Flow: Detecting Stealthy False Data Injection with Conformal Guarantees

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arXiv:2609.17635v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: City pedestrian counting systems now feed economic indicators, planning decisions and safety operations, yet the twins built on top of them treat the incoming stream as ground truth. We study what happens when it is not. We formalise stealthy false data injection for city-scale pedestrian sensing, where the map from latent flow to observation is far more rank deficient than in the power and water networks for which stealth has been characterised. Our twin estimates directed flows on the pedestrian street graph, assimilates counts through a learned graph-localised gain, and is trained against a flow conservation residual that couples metered and unmetered segments. Detection combines the innovation with that residual, and the alarm threshold is set by adaptive conformal calibration rather than by hand. To measure what the physics buys, we define the attack margin, the relative reduction in worst-case corruption of the estimated flow field,...

arXiv AI Latestabout 4 hours ago
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Physics-Constrained Digital Twins for Sensor Integrity in Urban Pedestrian Flow: Detecting Stealthy False Data Injection with Conformal Guarantees | Steek AI Signal | Steek